Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 3:25:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 3:26:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
63% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 38.87
Unexplained QUAI: 23.06
Explained QI: 714.79
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
5
62.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
61.93 QUAI
714.79 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 62 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
714.8 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
714.8 QI across 3 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
38.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
32.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
6.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 714.79 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
82.42 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:24:47 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:23:36 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
61.93 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:25:58 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:27:12 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
790 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:22:25 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:28:23 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
242.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:21:14 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:20:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
253.67 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:25:45 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
253.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:25:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002700293bfa0475fe509d72c5533bad5e85ac129bf4e9b4c9b06c47cc292e33
230.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:25:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002d00182683f14a163b34e474bfe607af733a4e4bfff5f5edf48d04f3f67ebd
230.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:25:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0050001dc7ae3306f7186ee88a0feb9a3e0de47a7d655c25934d50d4eee64e4f
6.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0075000883ee784413e154e2c329b7f5a043ef0ea26de780dedb9adc1da9c795
32.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00410044c5f09b20b31a1de37b71271547fab3213406f7cf3c7f85babe14a6e3
