Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:57:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,885.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 455.56
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
455.56 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,605.27 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2,366.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net sender
Unknown type
962.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net sender
Unknown type
752.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
457.57 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 455.56 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,605.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:57:17 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
9,038.78 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:56:06 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
13,325.05 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:58:28 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
5,721.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:54:54 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
3,254.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
3.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:59:40 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:00:51 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
11,939.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:52:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,366.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
227.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002500701a381720a6848f92b7dbaa2445f3bff82db191255f6ce1607a7508ea
227.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b004f897145848eec24ce46fe5a381cad1dd470d7c65ae136ba4cd179d8d4
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d0021c94d2a6abe2b9601d13b0d5a0b9047f9a5286394fcb802fcf4db9a1d
280 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
From: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
To: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Tx: 0x005d0063cc8579571bd955aa8a7a69357d50ac5aaa1e23de546404fdf410178f
962.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000800173f79216469c655fe2cb7023b0645612a6a6f7f5c6c645bcfabe6a4ef
272.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00750012a20d5fe91337b2d70470b829c83ea363cf4aee167a59420969a8d62e
752.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630022bee80f1d091b55d91ba2884dd0036514f6e5e4d8e76bb96afbe0e7ea
251.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00280025d7c808fc81423c46b67259c7530bd0dde19b26e6ee390284f9f13532
2,366.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:57:16 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300510c95cbdb1b8d0adb7db2e68f83c593392fa943b9d85b5b45fa68708f
