Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:54:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
75% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,313.49
Unexplained QUAI: 1,408.18
Explained QI: 500.38
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
11
91.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
5,721.67 QUAI
500.38 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 5722 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,460.61 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,852.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,099.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
753.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Net sender
Unknown type
656.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 500.38 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
3,254.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
5,721.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:54:54 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
11,939.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:52:28 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
9,038.78 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:56:06 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate21 tx
26,243.11 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:51:16 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:57:17 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
6,409.48 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:50:04 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
13,325.05 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:58:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,099.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1,099.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Tx: 0x003b0002630181c1a5cc72d3c1c3f9c564b726988376c018de2f1400a22bf2c1
119.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x006B20F25dd974f27Ac8CabBd4791Ed04C37a687
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00570033af652bb9b746c8d3bc2dc4b0e735e337d6b0fdee257843a82a5ddd38
190.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x0055BEA689FD0d99a5f69b06E8a14907ED2350A1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00280077108aca4be92af9bcc03ffe3777dff0753b520d555d51cea563b434d5
433.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f001a2b4be2a794b8e815aa847e121ef97a9282cd9215fa1ccf9dade41b04
576.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0056001d77eb5728b0ed9c11fceeaabd07780ab49741c309e8863a35487b7af5
656.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0004002104e467f4716bf43e7e52e45496fad38fe1f6a3822707ca147cffee30
286.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x00364843Bf0a53f898a40072C490B2700244c02E
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0017003f624c72aca198a68d40a97f8afd0d557b831b34a19e3759fc263ba4bb
197.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x006953D1Ab02af55cF5851BB0f593837a98EFaA8
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0041000f3cc276d9a4555101edd02a25755e2527f099598e615655d47e883a6e
250.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:38 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003f007356d35bb3528e1b7c8953cada8e107d810961c0cd62b37e40a17aa649
250.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002b0060aa566f3f43344dd4c084f3fc418669dbf5eab2787eca08ef147c7193
753.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Tx: 0x0004006dd5fe99ec23ef972f6623e1818f179bdfa91ab2069b4360ee88212d2d
