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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 2:52:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 11,960.47

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 454.22

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume

Relative context

1.2x above local average

0.5x previous minute

3.7x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

11,939.76 QUAI

454.22 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 11940 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Low freshness drift

Recent context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F

Net sender

Unknown type

11,260.47 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C

Net receiver

Unknown type

8,441.3 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,366.87 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00082Dda7A19f1c4e423A4F6ceC2405965f3da88

Net sender

Unknown type

700 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

Net receiver

Unknown type

700 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.