Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,275.07
Unexplained QUAI: 24,968.04
Explained QI: 454.21
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
4.1x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
7
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
26,243.11 QUAI
454.21 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 26243 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,275.07 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3
Net receiver
Unknown type
702.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
456.22 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
456.22 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Net receiver
Unknown type
252.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 454.21 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate21 tx
26,243.11 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:51:16 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
6,409.48 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:50:04 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
11,939.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:52:28 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
14,757.44 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:48:53 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
5,068.67 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:47:41 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
3,254.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:53:39 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
5,721.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:54:54 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
8,369.9 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:46:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
702.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
702.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3
Tx: 0x00030000728e71886c507aa2bfe8bfbb0365b1ceff6865ac6e25344abafc6270
227.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00240006257d32fd0d41675fc98df8a4b22f8a6dab7f1cd1ce629070b68c6d61
227.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e007dd5772656344631ec3208937c74af136631bdb1f163c33d20c7567d19
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00250058a21cb4b9c1406a2c882b64535631f825cdfaf9fcc0c8d99c5e7b0f82
176.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0075426F18AcEA0395E52E91daae40EdebE2B7b8
Tx: 0x0046000098750d9c511dc83c85c4c3a4cbee1a981a5b68fb6d6ecb85b1178bf6
252.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x0006006b607d882246b8f504686021585fb16795049611588bce64d706f09972
143.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:51:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x0011004660b327dd54e0a0661dc2f49ddc770fed1ae86527228726ad746046dd