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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 2:39:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,587.68
Unexplained QUAI: 30,256.39
Explained QI: 247.76
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
3.3x previous minute
18x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
29
Observable rows
7
24.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
39
Asset volume
35,844.07 QUAI
247.76 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 35844 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent contextThin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (16%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,540.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,887.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,047.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,185.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
681.3 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 29. The remaining 22 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

2,887.36 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
180.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x0016002c86bb6bb2c82b9468d7e134fb31fcb9f54a6384808c1cab6b4940d430
102.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0058199deA006A7d58dA686D18c0EB43Ca046765
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0018000b9d9192f481cc56f4cb6c9297538effebaba8210731c848bb52625639
247.76 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003f00772f6dfc49a87b5287dc272c61e520cd153305247dc61ec7fe4ebf7326
Open txWallet profile
1,185.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x004d0024cd240cec504c0371413532365c6544357b9d9e8edd441633c3fe9407
550.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x0072004d1cb1169f156b42aeccdc4a435b021a14a4ca207613b6c25772cd973e
2,887.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x007f00416826b2f4595d42f15d7f31ac7687140e61e749318ba45b05f40e5883
681.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x001f0054bc08dbae2a42e4b32a17d05009fd9bd95b446375db3b08a022f8ffca