Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,204.16
Unexplained QUAI: 1,232.86
Explained QI: 449.1
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
11
91.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
4,437.02 QUAI
449.1 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 4437 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,357.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,556.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
479.88 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
449.1 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
449.1 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 449.1 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate23 tx
27,429.72 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
4,437.02 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:23:32 A.M.
-2 min
23 tx
17,352.71 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
9,094.66 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:24:44 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
7,664.23 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:19:52 A.M.
+3 min
28 tx
12,716.24 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:25:56 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,439.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:18:41 A.M.
+4 min
31 tx
22,044.35 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:27:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,678.12 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1,556.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x007200199602d511923a6fc8e2aea6b1e4b926f4523b6c2f7ffec89f8ce2f153
105.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B72C33a5C7cFa448223c657b1ec0Bb181C23A
Tx: 0x00570000a6617ae1227bf93456dd6938d2816f3bca542df2d80eae38c09ae552
108.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:48 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00311C07F59d2e47734c3A6BFfA0a85f65C45eB2
Tx: 0x0023007f6e88c18c450fecf920dfcef3afe6538d8ab5aa8dfa5179e62d910587
256.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x00020014c10ba38e04778472f2014e1d79f27315cb9883828bd625a594034be6
443.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x00790040699a98545fc746600c32cce93070658824df4c084545419181e05bf8
109.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002F82C922A9Ca0A66494f3ec6Aad89819594A57
Tx: 0x00640055630d370df2fd61426a4de979c825762c350cf5cf83b1183a924bb022
224.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0040001b99853e964309f830a0dad042054532c3ad877cdd98204e167389042f
224.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c007f986420bebc1f88a5b703029a1d07b9f7fbee9f56b71d3416ec7a51ff
357.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
Tx: 0x0037004a377a8cc16421f39f852a1c1af35c5779987d4257edf3a36c5ea354bf
117.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Tx: 0x007800471ac8bc42b8efa4847d8c7710c4ee041c3c9dacd1e7adb606a5954324
149.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:23:11 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002CEc8C4df92b406c2A9cb6f64C5f8c510761Fe
Tx: 0x001d001e28501254e0d3f04445065631c0d92066a72ebab418b95b1e82845a32
