Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,990.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 450.24
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,439.56 QUAI
450.24 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1440 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,601.83 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,059.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,910.65 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Net receiver
Unknown type
818.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Net receiver
Unknown type
586.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 450.24 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
11,147.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:17:30 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,439.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:18:41 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,243.57 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:16:18 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
7,664.23 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:19:52 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate15 tx
28,414.32 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:15:06 A.M.
+3 min
23 tx
17,352.71 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
923.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:13:55 A.M.
+4 min
23 tx
27,429.72 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,059.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
225.12 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0009001b300f303db43fa493d2067ae7c3c2753973c37f0832b201e8528b6f77
225.12 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c007c9dfadd2888beec988d36c5a35ccb9b53a797a0b1aaf2426453d21ada
147.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x00660019ba10eeb2f93b97401eb716e0892a8cbe6a5cb77304990ce51f86597d
2,059.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Tx: 0x004b0024fdb278a067267587a5bacc82c9bf9fae3d988a961b55553451253f29
586.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Tx: 0x000a002ab7ad8f8d5bfeb5655158755ec9e08571dc4c4cf0d6ccbc063cb95288
505.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x006c00635bcab8e6599681c76d9bca5ae442f3c52d0bfe94c55cb550c3d1cf91
149.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:43 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000e2061eF8C12D563Af9546f83a752619bB4A1f
Tx: 0x006b002bc89d13769f2166207a6c5ce833af319fb6c91942d12206ac3d300612
102.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d0c11B58e7EC222F200e47C974dc2a574B25b
Tx: 0x0036001fb92d0c6ed0e3cf7205b1b8ae0ddcec7ae26af652fd2fc3e1a8b746a9
818.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Tx: 0x0066005ebac1ad0e04af8f2816709fc90c627dc00274a1f8a67be0de2a241561
440.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x005e0007f25c23148912f8d61264073e4286936b509a577498d4cd03b44bbdea
180.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:18:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7
Tx: 0x0012000f5cff1a34422ac81c0813a2de551d4e1ca418d34e4426830c8fe411db