Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:09:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,281.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 447.79
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
9.7x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
610.13 QUAI
447.79 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 610 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
49,670.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net receiver
Unknown type
49,670.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
610.13 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
449.8 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
449.8 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 447.79 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 610.13 QUAI
From exchange: 49,670.99 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
610.13 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:09:07 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
62.71 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:07:56 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
49,670.99 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:10:18 A.M.
-2 min
32 tx
502.22 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:06:45 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
1,748.68 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:05:34 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
49,701 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:11:33 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
19,999.06 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:12:43 A.M.
-5 min
53 tx
1,890.85 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:04:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
49,670.99 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
223.89 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0064006048a347bac74ec5c19b727366842e8e93fcffe0d211d6e9c1a0c100e9
223.89 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e0052f8c09bd063a6c28159db52f3476df834bebf430bcad90c009e71671b
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0050003c9f97b77bf1e1a5d695bdd216d8724adb732b1e44d45747b7b3f45782
49,670.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:43 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Tx: 0x002e00609a9fc1876a571e5fb7084f37cb26eb5c1bab48c43ad2673fe5b93835
103 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:04 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0042203f4d301e129e4bfa4cd1f7b71763056e18952a3d9e06e494a542f5
99.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:04 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400039c23821edd34e92e77fecaed3fdfd5f23da0eb4d3e45f7f219d6dfe74
107.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:04 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0029ce381faada136d7b8fc65e11d492a5476a0f513581f6ce7a2ec3f55d
198.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:04 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0007304d6972bb405245d3da5fc099eb28509fc5fec27af1e96419c426aa
101.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:09:04 A.M.
From: 0x0036B0138af563bAAff07fE11a115CE847d23B52
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006400085d220b4de1e4422461b1625bf48f8f42d5bccb78edd88fb2b2765ae4