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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 1:22:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 1:22:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

99% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 20,100.07

Unexplained QUAI: 105.24

Explained QI: 474.87

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume

Relative context

7.2x above local average

56x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Largest nearby bucket

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

20,205.31 QUAI

474.87 QI

Avg confidence

77.0%

Dominant source: etx-type

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 20205 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: etx-type

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source etx-type

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Low freshness drift

Recent context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 1:22:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window

Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81

Net sender

Unknown type

19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49

Net receiver

Unknown type

19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

474.88 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

474.88 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17

Net sender

Unknown type

101.02 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 474.87 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.