Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 12:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 12:39:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 12:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,455.5
Unexplained QUAI: 4,999.28
Explained QI: 665.95
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
6,454.78 QUAI
665.95 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6455 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 12:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,455.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,455.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
665.95 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
665.95 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 665.95 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,455.5 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:38:44 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:37:33 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
6,454.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:39:55 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:41:06 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:36:22 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:42:18 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:35:11 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:43:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,455.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:39:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
235.15 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00770034514f1a49bfff4bc5a9c38daf2d1bfc9abe16834975ce5479f1b7a4f9
1,455.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:39:33 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Tx: 0x005700379ef740a207ea696a5c6980c5de0b0a408a388a1dd3d38c09007c1bd6
215.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:39:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000a00646e99a14a7adeb9209bbe1f402eaad7af1356d0e38383649ba231b542
215.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:39:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a00111eaf5329cacba91a5e58c0f44ed4feae58369d3fdbf0cac48f0f4a37