Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 12:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 12:38:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 12:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,999.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 431.68
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
0 QUAI
431.68 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 12:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
431.69 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
431.69 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 431.68 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:37:33 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:38:44 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:36:22 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
6,454.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:39:55 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:35:11 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:41:06 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
7,163.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:33:57 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:42:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.28 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:38:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4,999.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:38:44 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025005b980171f469611b7d79ec64f55ac87f505b80ca2b738f364658ac7456
215.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0037000c9b6076a329975f107b8bc36203607fe4b665b45c3d5f9ba8dc4024a2
215.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0042007ba12b311eea872265130176269cc788ed2932ea14e6e3e22074cc8701