Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 12:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 12:26:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 12:27:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,688.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 238.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
238.94 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 12:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net sender
Unknown type
7,690.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044F6F11d8566a5C774355Dd45D50EAEfD2A97D
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,690.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.32 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
155.33 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:25:38 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:26:49 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
240 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:24:27 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
27,688.55 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:27:59 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:23:15 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:29:11 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:22:04 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
190 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:30:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:26:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
7,690.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:26:47 A.M.
From: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
To: 0x0044F6F11d8566a5C774355Dd45D50EAEfD2A97D
Tx: 0x0051007f380fc9797a62155cd00c3ea6eba70bbf0fcb70197a424682e2ae7a8f
19,998.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:26:47 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0017dbb976468a422de086e5ad4d0f657f3f85b6c96ef0b05c5e31c96804