Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 12:08:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 12:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 431.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 236.57
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
431.55 QUAI
236.57 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 432 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
428.83 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
236.57 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
236.57 QI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
113.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
111.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 428.83 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:07:47 A.M.
-1 min
24 tx
696.08 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:06:36 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
431.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:08:58 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:10:10 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate54 tx
952.18 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:05:25 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:11:21 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:04:13 A.M.
-5 min
53 tx
797.17 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/14/2026, 12:03:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
236.57 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:47 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:50 A.M.
From: 0x007349Ed7Db08d1bAb80D07b8C67a2A9216cE2d6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x007d00162b2742c2ae63f661f56aac18c0bfd218bf505f9b029e5329bd161db9
236.57 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:47 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0008001e201d531846bcc9471ab86fe7ea01760751e8de8d8b045301ae652322
113.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00080017dbfdfded5ca4b09cb1392635547fa3d1a581fbb913e624ca6055d895
99.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053001d69e1e46591bc59ab5a2c7dcd33f40eda97b99feb18a35c8600cbb0ba
111.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00320048becae66c844473161795d77aa427f02115b60ef1ef03bdf18c7b7ccc
103.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 12:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e001e5cffdfc7d4d90aa9c730f04e55a4727d7c1d0a321cd54dd542d2cff3