Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 11:38:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,663.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 710.46
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
710.46 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,663.12 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
1,808.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,160.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00686BE8c29b44c6f13042AFA8728ff1a746bE49
Net sender
Unknown type
1,115.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 710.46 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,663.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:38:05 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:36:54 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
9,663.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:39:16 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:35:42 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:40:28 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate8 tx
10,366.67 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:34:31 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:41:42 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:33:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
236.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000000181bd4d7782a7390b94293391dba42ef4e711b1fd8358c0f9f72dbd40b
1,808.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025001d1fc6932bd5b01d0a615f655cb80f4da89f6e2490e16415ca7b90cb88
1,115.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x00686BE8c29b44c6f13042AFA8728ff1a746bE49
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370013d8adbeee2af1b6f08082a1d352bec59842107715bbc8273e396d9c4e
579.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007006db4bb87e4e75c3374231bbc8b0c0be55dcfa3592d3ac5af0e29798c97
4,999.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260031619060dac3c756f82f0cb29204c89766b147a840313e33cf0c6182ff
1,160.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004700748ab9cd20dbac079f86b682be91ca80deddae76cf822b9eee635fc6f5
236.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007c005c60d6e72d45da3e6b78edc282bbd722e938a180de18e10ba51478b0cc
236.82 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003300246f17fe74c4663fd60460157d186075a944b86a0a18bab4d4b5826efb