Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 10:45:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 10:46:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49
Unexplained QUAI: 34,621.05
Explained QI: 472.23
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
3
18.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
34,670.05 QUAI
472.23 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 34670 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
472.24 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
472.24 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Cb547f0aCfAaeCB6d9b932b9d00CDDd98ef43
Net receiver
Unknown type
49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 472.23 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:44:22 P.M.
+1 min
16 tx
34,670.05 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:45:33 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:43:12 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
49 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:46:46 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:42:01 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate40 tx
57,003.9 QUAI • 56 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:40:48 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:49:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
236.14 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:45:13 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:45:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x005Cb547f0aCfAaeCB6d9b932b9d00CDDd98ef43
Tx: 0x0017001d8c97746ff68484922b9494e80fe27a64264de4ea41946e6bd15adf94
236.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:45:34 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00410059af0879c2d34fbcdedfd3e8dfa5310add39c4927bdee4beac17d7b8c6
236.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:45:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007f0006fea0165e73d6bee9ddd0e2ee2d4f61bc823e2515044d34c073b70c6a
