Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 8:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 8:05:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 482.12
Unexplained QUAI: 820.55
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
4.2x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
15
29.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
68
Asset volume
1,302.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1303 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 8:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (37%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
482.12 QUAI across 15 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
104.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007393D3ff2044D694BA97C59846df6A931375c0
Net receiver
Unknown type
99.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
70.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
1,302.67 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:05:05 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
313.11 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:03:54 P.M.
+1 min
16 tx
493.8 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:06:19 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
955.4 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:02:42 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:01:31 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
25,078.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:07:32 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
947.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:08:44 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:00:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
104.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0039007578228f941a924eda9c61a40dc4cf1dcf612f6a4746ec4cfb4b705621
9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x004800555601554b0132fd1b02306e1f2f3e2e9357a3fd0c1d052d20d9ed0974
4.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00441D0859a3998b05671c490Dd7e42f45E3a5a7
Tx: 0x001c00465aaa8b565a13bb46c499fbb383c2c623798e0afec4d15fbae7c260b5
99.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007393D3ff2044D694BA97C59846df6A931375c0
Tx: 0x005c0025ef8162859243b9b8912cdff4084c29d8b26bb16ba507887adbcab82d
6.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007909777582d775F56f7746063Dbd0c650b714f
Tx: 0x006c003df5d1242b1ae9cc3039ea9f466fcd47c181e78b428fd9b1a4baa0cc99
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
Tx: 0x0055002d37fd79b990a4a5af974572827db7befa41544174b765318a78f1d489
32.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x002f005660559c7db0be5ec59a2830381591b6f6c0669f9d80dd2b3ea7560b73
98.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x005b006c875336f5d6861c577def93f755f4e3b5c1f4313a186e3474928c8fa2
8.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Tx: 0x0062002872ce8b7c8768b07b186f6b1d95cb17a0473ac538ab9891e7f347b006
7.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Tx: 0x00400049b8d34290e81fef1794badc3184a05eabee5a2eda9078865220349f5e
19.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0068003f701680f2e70ced8c589029be215a26894202122114b3c62a312fb46f
5.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x002d001dd3dcb122d9f10ac23c12e375b380dd063b4d0cd9de620fdf89097550
104.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00310066ea3ffbf45d3a871b17b997e5422e060b1d35ce131ec5720002007977
70.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000700279392099e0ac12d08d1f3b9d51075f852a9f594a7a60e1de5d3aa2e03
6.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x00540063aa3bb14b85c07ed54aa0f05c77294abd54294ebb5b61fa6788e09796
