Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 6:24:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 6:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21.16
Unexplained QUAI: 14,407.26
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 210
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
14,428.42 QUAI
210 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14428 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.16 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
9.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
Net sender
Unknown type
3.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
2.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
14,428.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:24:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:22:55 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate23 tx
19,333.32 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:25:18 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:21:44 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:20:33 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:26:30 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
8,650.45 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:27:41 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:19:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9.95 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:24:40 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000b0054c7788d155378515f975b1a6ae244c67e692a8b41668a8338d6f331e0
4.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0035004bd5b750baf0210e122128e1bb50cff7f5b72813e9ba4e717bfbef88df
3.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c007ab8f87cc55314ec6a504e07009498e921b2ce08a47dce5a64d491495c
9.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b0021540305131dcf8ee40dc50a4f5325ecae900aec85ebc525e8122a9b9a