Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 6:23:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,428.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 210
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
14,428.42 QUAI
210 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003431E023Cb2352Fb10cb2F8e3AE14C56DFa317.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14428 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003431E023Cb2352Fb10cb2F8e3AE14C56DFa317.
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD -> 0x00ea5C813045660eF1f2BcF790Fff64dC92668fe (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
9,894.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003431E023Cb2352Fb10cb2F8e3AE14C56DFa317
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,894.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
4,533.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00590c36C6D27bceb08b7d4Ca7F4FbeE8dC21D12
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,533.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Net sender
Unknown type
212.01 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD → 0x00ea5C813045660eF1f2BcF790Fff64dC92668fe
2 repeated flows • 210 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 9,894.73 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:22:55 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:21:44 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
14,428.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:24:06 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:20:33 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate23 tx
19,333.32 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:25:18 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:19:19 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:26:30 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:18:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,894.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:23:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003431E023Cb2352Fb10cb2F8e3AE14C56DFa317
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.01 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
To: 0x00ea5C813045660eF1f2BcF790Fff64dC92668fe
Tx: 0x000f00b53369855d711c3acbc530ed3af54814835bbb9766cb3e0b56afd6c812
4,533.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:23:14 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00590c36C6D27bceb08b7d4Ca7F4FbeE8dC21D12
Tx: 0x001900425254c0920b884c07627bdaa52b0e000e8f51a393a7af47fdca20a048
210 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:23:03 P.M.
From: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
To: 0x00ea5C813045660eF1f2BcF790Fff64dC92668fe
Tx: 0x004e0063a74053cac4431c9c3a0fe52a35ce8cad68c22b40841e559d5a2b0312
9,894.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:23:03 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003431E023Cb2352Fb10cb2F8e3AE14C56DFa317
Tx: 0x0042004e0d6940face4d77a1941e21b898f48a881ce31ab8c16a045c1d453622