Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 6:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 6:10:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,751.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
1,751.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048862F6824f87d7c25c820C0A72383dE166dBc • 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1751 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048862F6824f87d7c25c820C0A72383dE166dBc • 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 6:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048862F6824f87d7c25c820C0A72383dE166dBc
Net sender
Unknown type
1,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00567af2400B895D7Be6383574e3176Bff073555
Net sender
Unknown type
551.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
551.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
23,331.22 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:09:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:08:37 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,751.27 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:11:03 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:12:14 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
133.46 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:07:26 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:13:24 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate76 tx
71,336.88 QUAI • 93 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:06:14 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
23,474.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 6:05:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:10:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0048862F6824f87d7c25c820C0A72383dE166dBc
To: 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:10:40 P.M.
From: 0x0048862F6824f87d7c25c820C0A72383dE166dBc
To: 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0
Tx: 0x003d001637988b841d5acf9b28fec9f8746c51163752fe08c00a9b8577ca87ca
551.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:10:15 P.M.
From: 0x00567af2400B895D7Be6383574e3176Bff073555
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00220018ea9e0bfe8fd75713350f40278c6f567d7c0c129e3822b58a395bd453
