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Spike bucket

09/13/2026, 6:06:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/13/2026, 6:06:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,315.2
Unexplained QUAI: 70,021.68
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
3.0x previous minute
534x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
76
Observable rows
10
13.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
93
Asset volume
71,336.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001Af8E91Bb181714c65EE8AEfc88F159a071fF6 • 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 71337 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001Af8E91Bb181714c65EE8AEfc88F159a071fF6 • 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent contextThin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 6:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (2%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x001Af8E91Bb181714c65EE8AEfc88F159a071fF6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,170 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,170 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
133.46 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net receiver
Unknown type
28.65 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

10 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 76. The remaining 66 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,170 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001Af8E91Bb181714c65EE8AEfc88F159a071fF6
To: 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0

All transfers in this selected minute

10 transactions
4.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00441D0859a3998b05671c490Dd7e42f45E3a5a7
Tx: 0x005c0064a024ee620553b928001af9f6d2ddba8cfaf2e596c0c2b817bb3789dd
13.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0044001850226f14c8c1c6ee26e84c471999e39e142da8ebd51ae2be1793bacf
7.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007909777582d775F56f7746063Dbd0c650b714f
Tx: 0x001f005f3a36921ad9e24405be34ff80249dffb192b5414810abc5ccbba1396a
28.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x000800625f06fb87478a6c6284649e3c16a032175303f4011c913351cb1a213b
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
Tx: 0x002c005d57b9ce46c3dc3ed017d2b97cfb045ff1e9c4b951e8f6f04b305c8025
63.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004600123570ce9e3ff92227f5f6eb699465ae91762ba76e2d336be28255de22
4.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x0061002a3c7d64b08e16ca6327b0e584fa39e0200b8e757d61347e8e2f0aa4cd
5.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x00440000bd709fc3a8476022a2fbcb85b017b25890c1e189c5e66a5f1e5ebb3c
11.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005f004536e711539fb2478a5b0097f817624f5677c1398d0db3e5451294a6bc
1,170 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 6:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x001Af8E91Bb181714c65EE8AEfc88F159a071fF6
To: 0x007CE1aE39D68368445E95EEd6e1755BeD5AbBb0
Tx: 0x005800471e474f6c39fb1719f929bb74c995dc773994cc1e52b8fbc5ed1de23e