Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 4:16:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
7.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000Ea0264BAC432f259e3BD781fA7701f9FeCC69 • 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000Ea0264BAC432f259e3BD781fA7701f9FeCC69 • 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000Ea0264BAC432f259e3BD781fA7701f9FeCC69
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:15:47 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:14:37 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
7.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:16:58 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:18:09 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:13:26 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:19:19 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:12:16 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
9,998.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:11:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:16:02 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000Ea0264BAC432f259e3BD781fA7701f9FeCC69
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:16:39 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0073002037bd6fb87c6629ceac6ee1b030f79a7031ece74848aca19973546499
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:16:02 P.M.
From: 0x000Ea0264BAC432f259e3BD781fA7701f9FeCC69
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x001c000ef01d5b82d18d667dc273c2698f760dcb521941fc044b326d13826541