Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 3:20:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,264.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
2771x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
11,264.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0025CDF6196DAEcB54c3766921b7887ffE9cE148 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 11264 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0025CDF6196DAEcB54c3766921b7887ffE9cE148 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0025CDF6196DAEcB54c3766921b7887ffE9cE148
Net sender
Unknown type
11,249.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,249.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F47Ef08d90A5A6D5e4bC66C390Fa11e75dd1a
Net receiver
Unknown type
15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,249.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
11,250 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:19:57 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:18:46 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
11,264.36 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:21:08 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
29,085.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:17:32 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate21 tx
345,726.65 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:16:21 P.M.
+4 min
12 tx
20,367.73 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:23:32 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
3,177.81 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:15:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,249.36 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:20:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0025CDF6196DAEcB54c3766921b7887ffE9cE148
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
11,249.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:20:40 P.M.
From: 0x0025CDF6196DAEcB54c3766921b7887ffE9cE148
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001700275b052075bb824257b3823f19cabb9167c13f6831442a30c7a84376c2
15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:20:40 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x004F47Ef08d90A5A6D5e4bC66C390Fa11e75dd1a
Tx: 0x001d002b4caccf6b5f1cfb727e6dc9380db90dacda2404fe53a46562c16fa166
