Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 3:16:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,085.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
9,071.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00590c36C6D27bceb08b7d4Ca7F4FbeE8dC21D12
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,071.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:16:21 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
3,177.81 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:15:09 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
3,122.5 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:13:58 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
29,085.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:17:32 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
118.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:12:46 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
4.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:18:46 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:11:36 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
11,250 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:19:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:16:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,999.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:16:56 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x007f001eba2cf3b30298080369251fb6c9b81df99ef767f11f00005e4dd24e1f
9,071.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00590c36C6D27bceb08b7d4Ca7F4FbeE8dC21D12
Tx: 0x00170033b1c35976e984bbc4dffd1a96f528405cbc10b63c280febce1422a4b2
15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x002924867fE9FC96B63109BebdcA1F65DDD54B4e
Tx: 0x004f00179c7ec66d800c332216a23c6f423f5d14011fa8d0518719ab6d275998