Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,177.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
27x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
3,177.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3178 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,127.43 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net sender
Unknown type
1,531.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net sender
Unknown type
1,487.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net sender
Unknown type
108.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,127.43 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
3,122.5 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:13:58 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
118.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:12:46 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,177.81 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:15:09 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:11:36 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:16:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:10:25 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
29,085.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:17:32 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
384.98 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:09:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,531.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
108.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0001ac9a356b9355c80cdebcf4dec02787174dc1e6f9694cc4c2e8108b84
1,487.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f003e1cf122f990be3724ea653787d0e668ade45ba31ae280a424b7cde129
1,531.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f007beacb9dcb58b905864481d38177bda67cb1ec08f23f89d173d273d2cb
16.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0027004b45a799a0dfd8705c742a75ec6fbb70f25779c385e633ac07aca99445
16.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00580076413cda0556aa649b4cdf53a55e84c72fa6b9d8c9c71984e771e875a7
17.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:14:28 P.M.
From: 0x00233D0676F3f67302cffF9D9aB9291Eb3dc7883
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00210063ed1485a4bf661625ec911cda04f76f0841508ef5c1e2103bc0bd9e68