Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:09:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 533.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
533.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 533 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
533.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
Net sender
Unknown type
205.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B63C5F101DA975A0Ed92b22D56C344fF9719e
Net sender
Unknown type
118.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
106.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Net sender
Unknown type
102.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 533.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:08:33 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
533.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
-2 min
26 tx
707.78 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:07:22 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:10:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:06:10 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:12:07 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,687.85 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:04:58 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:13:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
205.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:09:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
118.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x002B63C5F101DA975A0Ed92b22D56C344fF9719e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015005c64bccec9bb3f27f982e58cc9d7a572fa46e9bf08e6d0c9533e5f4660
102.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070012aef049b0eb9126f04e7b741ecc1f2028b74bcaf81e1cb55d5ce7663c
106.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250016056a5ff46f236cadbd45a9f98f3d9a8011be29b5d63986ba285bce65
205.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650061a93fd26b01170e3964e41d380e3f96eecd1f531e8b83d7a3e61d2e1f