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Spike bucket

09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 1:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,252.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,252.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6 • 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1253 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6 • 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging contextBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
Balanced
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
Net sender
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

750 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
To: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:42 P.M.
From: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x005a001fab7e9e4ef241a3d23aa0ace11b9056f1a1bc314306fc850475e13c30
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
To: 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Tx: 0x0027007fa4952c6f05bea1fbd9f4d95dd61c6425f118cf7f69ecf27627bb0e14
750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
To: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
Tx: 0x005900379bca3b5a9afbe3c65569ba253b6bfe6da013d52ce72f68049ea78ce2
2.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x001a003e7564d4e54c13dde76f9f55e30fc45f82724f259a65c291755c25d0df