Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 1:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,252.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,252.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6 • 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1253 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6 • 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
Balanced
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
Net sender
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
35.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:25:38 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
1,252.71 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:26:50 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
837.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:24:27 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:28:01 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:23:16 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:29:12 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:22:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:30:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
750 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
To: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:42 P.M.
From: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x005a001fab7e9e4ef241a3d23aa0ace11b9056f1a1bc314306fc850475e13c30
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
To: 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Tx: 0x0027007fa4952c6f05bea1fbd9f4d95dd61c6425f118cf7f69ecf27627bb0e14
750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
To: 0x005Db31eA33c916C0Ea96206A9F56068d6bA1aD6
Tx: 0x005900379bca3b5a9afbe3c65569ba253b6bfe6da013d52ce72f68049ea78ce2
2.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x001a003e7564d4e54c13dde76f9f55e30fc45f82724f259a65c291755c25d0df
