Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 1:09:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 334.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
322.45 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
117.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
102.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
Net sender
Unknown type
102.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
12.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 322.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:09:03 P.M.
-1 min
24 tx
629.42 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:07:51 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
334.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:10:16 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
64.18 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:06:41 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
4.08 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:11:27 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
714.38 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:05:30 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
805 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:12:38 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
331.62 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 1:04:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
117.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:09:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
12.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:09:11 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0023002588b8568329bc3d46f6666714cdaa8543820e54499072d18cd672e8da
102.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:09:11 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029007ed727e5ef1bf1f08937dfcec9b57956b968f8a186262094e07d76e352
102.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:09:11 P.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560035c7f2f89d8a7ed01a6fca3be6e50a799b15c22fdb0caf85314f04d3ef
117.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 1:09:11 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003200368d62f585b25e9be2e9b79db99c58abd78417efff2322a48b0999a0de