Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 12:38:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 12:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,999.31
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:38:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:36:53 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
4,999.31 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:39:17 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:35:42 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:40:28 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
5,369 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:34:31 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:41:39 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
113.37 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:42:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.31 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 12:38:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
4,999.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 12:38:50 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053004f7d2f7e0bbfd16b3b96a15cd906c9d58bef7ce91877c0ed8ecaafccfa
