Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 12:05:00 P.M. to 09/13/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
24.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 25 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.92 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
Net sender
Unknown type
13.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
11.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
752.96 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:04:46 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,673.47 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:03:34 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
24.92 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
+2 min
20 tx
771.62 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:07:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:02:23 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:08:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,189.11 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:01:12 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 12:00:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 12:05:01 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
11.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 12:05:01 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0012001d2a61c1f06e4a8682e874cac2901cef33d487027fce7d23a0a0d03ac5
13.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 12:05:01 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00660061259f9dbfcb190c469ccedf020fc7e44e6d2a3a38b328225fd3a12798