Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 11:16:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 11:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39,030.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
7,028.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19 • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 7028 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19 • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
Net receiver
Unknown type
37,600 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net sender
Unknown type
32,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Net sender
Unknown type
5,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net sender
Unknown type
1,396.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,396.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,396.69 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
7,028.38 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:16:10 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
32,002.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:17:21 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,900.84 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:13:50 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:12:39 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:18:31 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:19:42 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
54.46 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:11:25 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
37,599.31 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 11:20:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
32,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
To: 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
32,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:58 A.M.
From: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
To: 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
Tx: 0x004c007c7ba6f4b3127dcbdc5b858b46b53e69f11c909765224e83a9b07a05c2
2.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:58 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x000e0004975f898400ed47b28e6988a7d7042f35b2a47a79435557dec62c832a
5,600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:05 A.M.
From: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
To: 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
Tx: 0x007b0006b17c86d60cde6fa8045140d6a562e65a32512ae35eec8649ddfb1368
1,396.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:05 A.M.
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a0054b5084e2453ca3d8880f2a3ac07d1297e3d71d3336065282049d391d6
17.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:05 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a0021fda2fb58cfe84e940d8f52f91473a5be08538cac9f23698d7f27a4ab
13.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 11:16:05 A.M.
From: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004c004f1fd88c8435f07374bac8604cc4f379ad97c561fbdf7207615776f92a