Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 10:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 10:34:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 10:35:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
57% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 309.46
Unexplained QUAI: 230.54
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
540 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 540 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 10:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (57%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
309.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
Net sender
Unknown type
303.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
Net sender
Unknown type
3.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
2.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:33:19 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
540 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:34:31 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:32:08 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
309.46 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:35:42 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:30:58 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:36:52 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
950 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:29:46 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:38:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
303.65 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:34:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00440053c6c2a7579f0b5e4fdf8756c682f5340d8cb8deea0e89774946e652e1
3.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005e000d1878be7b5e26ebcf43fab4fa6e226860ce0f0d7f462f0c429da274dd
303.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c000e3a541bba85960888880dc0232e39d2e0871e42df386f4cc67bcb3208