Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 10:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 10:14:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 10:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 10:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
Net sender
Unknown type
15.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
13.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:14:23 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:13:12 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:12:02 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
35.98 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:15:34 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:10:51 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:16:45 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate8 tx
860.64 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:09:39 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/13/2026, 10:17:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:14:40 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:14:55 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x001f007ada9323dc7eade1d1c2a53942f717ad7cbae0a59dba9bbb8cd2429947
15.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00510069b7345faa2dee48d199df6f8a3a0b95947fdb02c0d62a0f1bf7fb7300
1.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074003c33414c5dfab81a9a68d2d50b9d7012b2cb3eacf9c586143b533d0e36
13.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0044007700bd99d4ce22cb7862b48004ef84ad19d9188fdbb52f8d016897a1c5
2.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 10:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x001dE98a9f286e39580E1000D7B7edbc8399d423
Tx: 0x0042003798bf2ccfc60d987078be066cf960b8c01fbf5b96012ccae1f6c29307