Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 9:09:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 9:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7.06
Unexplained QUAI: 389.25
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
56x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
1
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
396.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 396 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
7.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
396.31 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:09:06 A.M.
-1 min
33 tx
1,380.62 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:07:56 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
7.06 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:10:17 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
67.21 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:06:44 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
154,428.73 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:11:29 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
1,277.38 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:05:33 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:12:39 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
34.89 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:04:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7.06 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:09:05 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
7.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:09:05 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00750031e6ec76beb411487fdbc35b8d0deddb1f9e2984a2c33754fd3aa38baa
