Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 9:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 9:08:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 396.31
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
5.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
396.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 396 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 9:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
347.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
131.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
109.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
106.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
49.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 347.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
33 tx
1,380.62 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:07:56 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
67.21 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:06:44 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
396.31 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:09:06 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,277.38 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:05:33 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
7.06 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:10:17 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
154,428.73 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:11:29 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
34.89 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:04:21 A.M.
-5 min
50 tx
714.65 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/13/2026, 9:03:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
131.38 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:08:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
109.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:08:57 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0022ccb8bb648452565d8a2458516739b4550e1c94836119cd897319fe9d
131.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:08:57 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f006203da9befcf7222966fd80763456c801390e74739c2620d71bc78c315
106.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:08:57 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f006ca48d52b9fcfb319d049e28e9c42bd8dc142bd9589b3ea6044a04bfac
49.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 9:08:03 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006F9743f85C034F40b208faC57b12e60baB1484
Tx: 0x0078001a86d247432fd19cccaceeef638e1a94c038d1af5c3a736422dac02fa2