Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 8:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 8:33:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 8:34:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
78% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,585
Unexplained QUAI: 4,413.46
Explained QI: 25
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
19,998.46 QUAI
25 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x0021a972eAB4336AFf496fAE7FE6c41a769643b1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x0021a972eAB4336AFf496fAE7FE6c41a769643b1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 8:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
15,585 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021a972eAB4336AFf496fAE7FE6c41a769643b1
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,585 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
25 QI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
25 QI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:32:22 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
19,998.46 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:33:33 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.12 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:31:09 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
15,585 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:34:44 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:29:59 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:35:55 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:28:48 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:37:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,585 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:33:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x0021a972eAB4336AFf496fAE7FE6c41a769643b1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
15,585 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:33:53 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x0021a972eAB4336AFf496fAE7FE6c41a769643b1
Tx: 0x0001000dac2a8388d38f653ddd3924b16ceec3ad4a8d2e96b73657c0eeaed866
25 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:33:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: StratumX miner
0x00444527B9D59b472cAc180D47302d85dECa1957
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x006d006f51e48b30cd678bc027cc14cbe86c5d250c5c221a57d2ba23c97baa9d
