Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 8:14:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 105.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0021bBc73b22b632ac71598068fb935f64c93856.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0021bBc73b22b632ac71598068fb935f64c93856.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.26 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x0021bBc73b22b632ac71598068fb935f64c93856
Net sender
Unknown type
28.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
16.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
16.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
Net sender
Unknown type
15.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:13:25 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:12:15 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
105.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:15:47 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:11:04 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:16:57 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
2,949.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:09:50 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 8:18:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
28.41 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0021bBc73b22b632ac71598068fb935f64c93856
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
2.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x007d006f5a66d17da0f10f7f7ca199d5fea6e7b2427d4edaa9edcd99015205e0
28.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x0021bBc73b22b632ac71598068fb935f64c93856
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0005004492984ddf6059e9970c417f339ab2efab18e20ff3b5ff98619b741bdd
16.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0026004be1e6a88fe741f56e971e2478ac2b56c995c8c00561afa21af34822a1
15.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f005eab946879cbf37f9fc0ade6356cdaead111724fc3620c47814d58af71
14.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000b004ab476b947c26df2ee7216004aa8e63e45aff6ee0fb9e49c7c8bbbb953
16.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f0005805a52fe0b2b34e1c0504c4729cefdc68036a4ec6742bda4f61928af
11.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 8:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00260024991bfc4f270ae8c6be46b5f75810c79f46957244450220cb4e7577e3
