Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 4:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 4:24:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 4:25:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 70.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
17.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 17 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 4:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.21 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
28.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000946D64B972B65C5D531D801948C5ae010b7A8
Net sender
Unknown type
17.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007aDD18Da4FE331a038646f4011a9A5C7B8b7E4
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
15.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
17.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:24:18 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:23:07 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
53.21 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:25:29 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:21:56 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
330 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:20:45 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
329.37 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:26:42 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:19:34 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:27:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
28.31 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:24:29 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
28.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:24:29 A.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0017001424fdf6cedd60b8260644902ec9c87d5b170e98242ad19b0722151748
15.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:24:29 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001e0031ffdd134b70de69c26679c4a0018fe3986fedf2b25dda026f704831d3
9.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:24:29 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0004002454dfe9ea130e70e6a2be865a8d7c98a459d053c3d064067a4f1744b3
17.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:24:09 A.M.
From: 0x000946D64B972B65C5D531D801948C5ae010b7A8
To: 0x007aDD18Da4FE331a038646f4011a9A5C7B8b7E4
Tx: 0x0038000d1e34a4e72281b743841699f0411aa655624f3078c6db868c1c812f43