Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 4:08:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 455.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
455.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 456 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
455.85 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
Net sender
Unknown type
126.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Net sender
Unknown type
123.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
Net sender
Unknown type
104.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
Net sender
Unknown type
101.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 455.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate21 tx
902.5 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:07:45 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:06:35 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
455.85 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:08:56 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:10:07 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
658.21 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:05:24 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
13.06 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:11:18 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
38.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:04:11 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 4:12:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
126.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:08:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
126.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:08:43 A.M.
From: 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048001e3e71844129176992263b42a24c14fb46e06ccc2350c7da2a66a5c6f2
104.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:08:43 A.M.
From: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b0079c0924dc17a72676c4c755b67b95802f0b28af38890eae1d7e2a10f88
123.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:08:43 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061002624d2ba98d5c1a7003118cef16e34ede8372c0214fe4304b7c2b40908
101.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 4:08:43 A.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005002ce42f9d532deba45a05da1453ad796bbbfa79f9fead68b74d5354827c