Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 3:51:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 3:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 100
Unexplained QUAI: 19,898.46
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
200x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
19,998.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,998.46 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:51:09 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:49:59 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:52:20 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,049.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:48:48 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999.07 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:47:38 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:53:31 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:54:45 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:46:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:51:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 3:51:22 A.M.
From: 0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0047000ec47ddd2800919b10370c51927e44196036dd1b7b633ee2969cfe5797