Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:58:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,958.75
Unexplained QUAI: 3,104.48
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
8
61.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
11,063.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 11063 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,530.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,428.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,860.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,654.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,626.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate17 tx
31,902.67 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
11,063.23 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:58:45 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
26,387.65 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:56:22 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
2,942.14 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:59:56 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
12,861.35 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:55:10 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
10,965.67 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:01:11 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
4,578.3 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:53:59 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
3,461.28 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 3:02:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,860.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
1,860.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x004e006d490065c0a0c5c2b3e62ddf32da062c62f4682df3e1b21c31650960c2
419.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x0051002332fc78d20b7bdc90d7427a020fa18390f7aafb685a2d1330959cc3df
779.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Tx: 0x00770025f587bd5938ebd7a9d0fa630413b78ac5406de1120e172b5b1e10c8a8
829.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007289C3f0e5E99F9F8fcf22369Ce5893101697f
Tx: 0x006d002497b207ce2e1179395016681b8a3fa396885700f457024d570b78326d
362.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x0005004f2f0711093d9c3561907ee42b2ff578af4248c8da701b135c71521f9c
1,654.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Tx: 0x00540069aff55705281af94dd22a5d067dcf6d8ea628e2d55cb3d8d91f4b7af7
425.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x001800219949d597a9c41a4458a603596d568895dbe18792de0f3d9979f966d2
1,626.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:58:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x0017007b703b54d6db70c28c177773253c8e6d77bfed90b4ccc91bf758b1bc65
