Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,338.21
Unexplained QUAI: 15,553.46
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
5.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
8
44.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
25,891.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 25892 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (40%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
6,054.77 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,283.44 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,113.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,823.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,156.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
5,111.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:50:25 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate18 tx
25,891.68 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:51:36 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
10,645.39 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:49:09 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
6,059.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:52:48 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
14,622.02 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:47:58 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
4,578.3 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:53:59 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
13,772.08 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:46:47 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
12,861.35 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:55:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,113.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
887.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
Tx: 0x00050046373a06ab6d98ec64ddbbcf11d8de94743815dca9d546cb4b5ea87431
4,113.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x0000000fbe05ed3a9c683d6230631a379b40f6236c226d6c01e8df0cc67dcc5e
956.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x004400740d9c4d11f34553455bb4ac3b2d99eedd076ff7edde8be46abe4bddfc
101.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00611e2cF57B087bAccf7A12498119D49f28FDd6
Tx: 0x004d0021236a1b6bdfcc593dff40c7186fbf0617eaf2e59340e25ac4cd505af9
615.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Tx: 0x0007005c0c6c06794b308bea5192a9ee6efc4d5b35a5c2205daca5e1c0b32c6d
682.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x0059001118b58269fdf94d2c40172a7678b34a386dc1c11cb3c4f39ef8d3e600
1,823.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x0031007b3692644dce5c7894bd2f0d1306ae23c0a3a442a7098c4087d14db054
1,156.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:51:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x004d00799051588205d3cc2db2bd8a5753d1c2b3ea1ad745b69bd03e973a442c
