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Spike bucket

09/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
53% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,772.08
Unexplained QUAI: 12,374.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
2.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
7
36.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
26,146.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 26146 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging contextPartial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (53%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,838.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,838.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,619.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 19. The remaining 12 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

9,838.74 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
9,838.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x007d00664d01d2667031c9fcf6e091c7d948077a15a6235f8f7326fc0042b5e3
Open txWallet profile
314.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0056acF10F6a47Ce0ccee2B9ca3D4A2B332CACC2
Tx: 0x002a002c4e682f75fb07fe0199cbaf5bdb9a07eea24aac48f9c66f39d9a96522
Open txWallet profile
541.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0046000b1ca93b25ca11c2cc0b0b9c93a1b916381947c718795fde5323466dee
Open txWallet profile
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Tx: 0x0044002d9c9f1a34aa768fede8d5716f903558ab6549fc12d9c54deb652d4431
833.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0021001d19a5740f3b73720183c83b15d8f03f4844fcb1d7915f19eb307d7a57
Open txWallet profile
100.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058001ee982ea1a3c58032c3a0ca708e5a45050ef6ccb380faf9624a193ccbf
Open txWallet profile
142.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004Bb798e1128Ed209b846f3012B3A29D383b3D4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00140014da954bc1635e858903d6c7d3992e10d1bd17576167ea494cbace4a55
Open txWallet profile