Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
53% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,772.08
Unexplained QUAI: 12,374.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
2.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
7
36.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
26,146.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 26146 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (53%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,838.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,838.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,619.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
6 tx
12,651.83 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:44:23 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate19 tx
26,146.44 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:45:34 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,685.08 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
13,772.08 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:46:47 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
14,325.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
14,622.02 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:47:58 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,992.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:40:49 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
10,645.39 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:49:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,838.74 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
9,838.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x007d00664d01d2667031c9fcf6e091c7d948077a15a6235f8f7326fc0042b5e3
314.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0056acF10F6a47Ce0ccee2B9ca3D4A2B332CACC2
Tx: 0x002a002c4e682f75fb07fe0199cbaf5bdb9a07eea24aac48f9c66f39d9a96522
541.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0046000b1ca93b25ca11c2cc0b0b9c93a1b916381947c718795fde5323466dee
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Tx: 0x0044002d9c9f1a34aa768fede8d5716f903558ab6549fc12d9c54deb652d4431
833.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0021001d19a5740f3b73720183c83b15d8f03f4844fcb1d7915f19eb307d7a57
100.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058001ee982ea1a3c58032c3a0ca708e5a45050ef6ccb380faf9624a193ccbf
142.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004Bb798e1128Ed209b846f3012B3A29D383b3D4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00140014da954bc1635e858903d6c7d3992e10d1bd17576167ea494cbace4a55
