Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:35:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,860.41
Unexplained QUAI: 18,638.93
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
9
39.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
22,499.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 22499 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (17%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,055.29 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,293.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,026.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,023.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Net receiver
Unknown type
526.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
6,257 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:34:47 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate25 tx
29,736.47 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:33:35 A.M.
+1 min
23 tx
22,499.34 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:35:59 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
8,690.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:37:11 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
5,356.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:32:23 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
21,040.17 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:38:23 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
3,060.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:31:12 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
5,849.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,026.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
191.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x007400700322ba60e2d5f0fb0a80f04b3c91d51f1fbc5633d155a73614516813
502.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x00060040ea585c74c942638c774fc9d6e9aab261e6e37b7a88fd83c730bc51be
166.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x007b0010a0c19c3dbb618a7ce61e881d952cfa2faf953f79321f23a8cc208a04
162.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007b79BbE7D725e1aC7CEBED44B4749dEFb994D0
Tx: 0x0070007b07cf03bc80be381d9ec137dbbd071981aca10ca107fe000b828e938b
1,026.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0031007fe76abe4653d859d83cc606ba047c47c29d4b9b2771931a9072c436d0
103.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00423Cb061A07a34659052b741Ea73853cAC2FEc
Tx: 0x004800003c91bc7d065bd81e8ced693233f5d77d626639a31d907c64da3dab8c
158.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:11 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x001b00212c67de54789aa300a4041472da520badc54e22786a55168f02ac79a1
1,023.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x005c0049bae31c575a5a3efe9fc2612b8359ed3ea4e7f2c90c5081258e14c6e5
526.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:35:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x000f0013e19d9194b2811a41b4a0fefe1fd8b86058ff50d4e1acbfff26c02c0b
