Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:28:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,908.19
Unexplained QUAI: 24,528.41
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
9
69.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
32,436.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 32437 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (24%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,907.44 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,719.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,559.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,470.32 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net receiver
Unknown type
691.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
26 tx
21,167.56 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate13 tx
32,436.6 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:28:49 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:26:23 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
5,849.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
2,205.4 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:25:11 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
3,060.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:31:12 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
5,906.62 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:23:59 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
5,356.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:32:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,719.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
2,559.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
Tx: 0x004a007991bc034260899c11f4acd812e6cecd512150c4972074387e1c964b10
198.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:51 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
Tx: 0x0006000abafad6b41d33b425461e26b6fa6156ef0a1a63469e71dbd1bdebc05f
477.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Tx: 0x001f00535c088335ad8c1acca865518f9182562ea5e5854f9a4850b2daf03c04
230.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0055BEA689FD0d99a5f69b06E8a14907ED2350A1
Tx: 0x007a000cb9bad3c12ebb9f692453404a0a647266928ca90705abdcf46ebc0963
629.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
Tx: 0x005a0037b85b4d5814a83df567197a4ad6cc8dea5bba8472ac0b42d2cb23f14e
691.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x00000001e1da157f6de762999453e402459fed9ecff14680dd7b091a7b894df7
101.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0053D18Bc4dAA1C1441d766F1AD69b3eB55a3d10
Tx: 0x000e000d672c300a52fdc1aefd136899946dae95bd3bcae55505832c21b0689d
301.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x0017004bee11ec02bd201ff816d383b318c7261652781f02a597fd1de9a971f9
2,719.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
Tx: 0x001b0027eeb63edd35ab72addd07b4210373d00d877cb5f69c06f506229fe4fc
