Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 934.06
Unexplained QUAI: 1,271.33
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
2,205.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2205 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (42%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
364.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Net receiver
Unknown type
364.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
331.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Net receiver
Unknown type
331.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
152.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
2,205.4 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:25:11 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
5,906.62 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:23:59 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:26:23 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
9,051.01 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:22:47 A.M.
-3 min
24 tx
25,312.61 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:21:35 A.M.
+3 min
26 tx
21,167.56 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
32,436.6 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:28:49 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate24 tx
33,085.55 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:20:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
364.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
152.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004da2233CD6F20Ca1379E54b4D70f2bC0d5c799
Tx: 0x0054004ba42471a1bbf892582a3b031e3050ed5a1b002454bd84da3ee7fd1b0b
331.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Tx: 0x007b00594297441790474cce21ed9d72da00a0b67d60ee17565b52358677a0ba
364.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x00090038dd8cf5a54094c20accd9e31cb897c4e25cdc0331361288e2f10692a6
16.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0045001b6d67f6051696012616c7e4a78ad27f0bcbca2701dbdf706b3b27516e
8.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0042006039aa4878868dbeb3f2a61516c361e1b2bba622d0addd4610b1cdd283
4.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007d0074c32fd1c8c95d5e6627809b294fe61582ff25f2128a9d1b0014880570
22.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b0075f31f9e516593d60e780522ad1bba63d8b9f31c705ec3f34c43162f51
32.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:25:01 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00660015b25bda0c0713ceceb5889470292dafc33c9874c926671519f369c460
