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Spike bucket

09/13/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/13/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,459.26
Unexplained QUAI: 2,447.36
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
5,906.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 5907 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging contextPartial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,689.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,523.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,319.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Net receiver
Unknown type
855.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
Net receiver
Unknown type
833.69 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,319.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
102.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:57 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x003a0057f5f2302b026d3efe9fb88bfe7efc8ca21ff8d942d87660168d039b4f
1,319.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Tx: 0x00050070a8844704a775848fff0dd26fabf617b02be1f7c842e55d10c2175387
Open txWallet profile
833.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
Tx: 0x002400279e24a82eecb08ab5f8b2683a07738e97c76c47e22d422c2276c78f56
Open txWallet profile
144.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:50 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004Bb798e1128Ed209b846f3012B3A29D383b3D4
Tx: 0x004200491b44cf22da2405ec2ce81565b4a0c029d1c47e3605de6c63f6be3410
204.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00289CF4F6fEA7E8779cA1c316a844773C07A208
Tx: 0x0040000df3727c770775431d9dd18b3eca6c8cc771d2b376c1a9cade1b799705
Open txWallet profile
855.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:23:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Tx: 0x003c0014ee7c8bfce8e0f24193fb95c8419a5a2245e8b4c0fb0176a0d606c6cd
Open txWallet profile