Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,402.96
Unexplained QUAI: 5,644.68
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
17x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
15,047.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15048 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
6,651.78 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,012.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,267.97 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,235.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,079.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
13,368.84 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:15:31 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
15,047.64 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:16:43 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
875.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:14:19 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
11,401.99 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:17:58 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:13:08 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
12,657.55 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:19:10 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:11:57 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate24 tx
33,085.55 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:20:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,012.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
568.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x0049004d50bf910fc994d7ca8aabf7f2883128a6ce010ad044ce47c7fc4fab4f
675.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x00240076f9578235825ca576bb57883ef35f63a8d3d5a70d22c44fd8ff3b7afd
236.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x0041007020ee6f1d2f685907176c2522d75c8532d92f208ee0fbd4920d08ac2f
1,559.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x004b000feceb9597d27b7b0e667d9c167884dc448dd84173dfea109e7550412e
130.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0078003f4bdafbc1823194897d1e3f25db62abcfd3d1fe3a1cd0a6bc3cf90d7c
1,079.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Tx: 0x00280011534dec06e897042e94b1aa0a7a271458eba45172b4cf0d873e984fe3
510.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00096c96Df1b4095D10e101ac2A85Ece114cE35D
Tx: 0x004800405c2eb62fac0023477a143d2af192fcffcbac929b93ae64e2acb1f8d6
116.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000f793D7F6E29b46c41843417F56125F0c1c6be
Tx: 0x001f00705a0e2cc718dafa7032132f17ea8bd9701d04e2ef7dc0014cba850b8b
512.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Tx: 0x002d003d60678e3ff76de968ee0795c748b7a0f75b6f11cc5579802d1190c43b
4,012.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:16:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x0076007add4ef52b0c5022b342b57fa6db1a0a5f1a133d281b7b0f58a99efcaa
