Spike bucket
09/13/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/13/2026, 2:05:00 A.M. to 09/13/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 37,730
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
37,730 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003fEc5415189B0C3cBC53E971f96038a5CF0543 • 0x0069560cD9f73A9706888131FbcbCe79867126B0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 37730 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003fEc5415189B0C3cBC53E971f96038a5CF0543 • 0x0069560cD9f73A9706888131FbcbCe79867126B0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/13/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003fEc5415189B0C3cBC53E971f96038a5CF0543
Net sender
Unknown type
37,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0069560cD9f73A9706888131FbcbCe79867126B0
Net receiver
Unknown type
37,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
Net sender
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:04:49 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:03:39 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate57 tx
77,495.52 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
+2 min
35 tx
1,061.8 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:07:14 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:02:28 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:08:25 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
828.7 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:01:17 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/13/2026, 2:00:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
37,700 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:05:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003fEc5415189B0C3cBC53E971f96038a5CF0543
To: 0x0069560cD9f73A9706888131FbcbCe79867126B0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
37,700 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:05:18 A.M.
From: 0x003fEc5415189B0C3cBC53E971f96038a5CF0543
To: 0x0069560cD9f73A9706888131FbcbCe79867126B0
Tx: 0x005f001084d02ebeae319c232c617a1825db674334a505a2daa6fa7a986f263b
30 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/13/2026, 2:05:18 A.M.
From: 0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x00410060074646e26621acd3ae06e92f032c29025fb7637cbb451bc07ef2a407