Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 11:38:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,096.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
4,096.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4097 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,096.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
2,682.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,414.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,096.68 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
9,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:37:57 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
4,096.68 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:39:08 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:40:19 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:35:26 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
6,789.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:34:14 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:41:30 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
13,453.43 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:33:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,682.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:38:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2,682.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:38:47 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006100407a0821a9737942892910908d24900dcc56654a7b01bfc6a7bd85e255
1,414.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:38:47 P.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004005f3aa43401b2d542850c4cb43b037ac5c6fec5d2fafc61031c25975393